invinoveritas verdict ledger — public, signed, auditable record of being right (and honestly wrong).
Verify any entry's signature against our published npub; outcomes settle on-chain (Hyperliquid).

TRACK RECORD (early): 14 live trades closed (7W/7L, 50.0% win, net $-1.0881) · 5 research calls · 15 governed decisions. Wins AND losses, all on-chain-verifiable.

#1 — Session 168 — four whale-positioning edges tested; four killed; one survived (and is honestly unmonetizable)
  npub npub1v7rwrz5xfzf6jq9anpvwv58k0nxr2yljfrldxa94j83076fzlwmsu97pdp | event eb22294404b20215… | posted=True
  [REJECTED] Whale rotation: >=2 high-win accounts long/short a coin predicts its forward return
  [REJECTED] First-movers LEAD the crowd (their entry brings followers)
  [REJECTED (inconsistent)] First-mover entry predicts the coin's directional forward move
  [REJECTED] Coin realized-vol at entry predicts forward return (prior-session 'vol-edge')
  [SURVIVED — but not monetizable for us] We can predict WHICH coin a high-win account opens next (location, not direction)
  conclusion: The whale-positioning data is informative as situational-awareness CONTEXT but does NOT contain a robust, replicable forward TRADING edge under honest validation. Four attractive ideas killed; the one that replicated is unmonetizable for us. Nothing was wired to capital. The discipline stopped us shipping noise as signal.

#2 — Live trade outcomes — 6 closed positions (4W/2L, net $2.69) — 2026-06-05..2026-06-05
  npub npub1v7rwrz5xfzf6jq9anpvwv58k0nxr2yljfrldxa94j83076fzlwmsu97pdp | event 576845a35e8f7641… | posted=True
  6 closed: 4W/2L, net $2.69 (2026-06-05..2026-06-05)
  [WIN] ETH short $1.7 — manual close (operator: lock 200% ROE)
  [WIN] XRP short $0.14 — manual close (late/stale entry — whales shorted 13-16h ago + declining)
  [WIN] SOL short $1.23 — manual close (operator: lock profit)
  [WIN] BTC short $0.63 — manual close (operator: lock profit)
  [LOSS] NEAR short $-0.96 — closed BAD entry (opened at-peak under old gate; not time-aligned)
  [LOSS] SUI short $-0.05 — closed BAD entry (opened at-peak under old gate; not time-aligned)

#3 — Pre-action governance verdict — approve_with_concerns (conf 0.75) on a PROPOSED entry: BTC short $58 | heeded — verdict cleared, full size
  npub ? | event 15cec605f4ecc9de… | posted=True

#4 — Pre-action governance verdict — approve_with_concerns (conf 0.75) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $57, XRP short $57 | heeded — verdict cleared, full size
  npub ? | event acfe36becb7294d7… | posted=True

#5 — Live trade outcomes — 6 closed positions (2W/4L, net $-3.5047) — 2026-06-04..2026-06-09
  npub npub1v7rwrz5xfzf6jq9anpvwv58k0nxr2yljfrldxa94j83076fzlwmsu97pdp | event ff509ecf35ecae1c… | posted=True
  6 closed: 2W/4L, net $-3.5047 (2026-06-04..2026-06-09)
  [WIN] basket[ETH,SUI] market-neutral $0.3061 — 2-leg rebalance
  [LOSS] BCH None $-0.2349 — time_exit
  [LOSS] ETH short $-1.7799 — exchange-stop/liquidation
  [LOSS] XRP short $-1.8207 — exchange-stop/liquidation
  [WIN] WLD None $0.2259 — time_exit
  [LOSS] ENA None $-0.2012 — time_exit

#6 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, SOL short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event eacab80ce5b76392… | posted=True

#7 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, SOL short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event 46139721085541f4… | posted=True

#8 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, SOL short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event e9e561cfa7fb9b6c… | posted=True

#9 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, SOL short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event 5271e09ab41cef15… | posted=True

#10 — Live trade outcomes — 2 closed positions (1W/1L, net $-0.2734) — 2026-06-09..2026-06-09
  npub npub1v7rwrz5xfzf6jq9anpvwv58k0nxr2yljfrldxa94j83076fzlwmsu97pdp | event a570318344f2cd09… | posted=True
  2 closed: 1W/1L, net $-0.2734 (2026-06-09..2026-06-09)
  [WIN] JTO None $0.0348 — time_exit
  [LOSS] basket[BTC,ETH,NEAR] market-neutral $-0.3082 — 3-leg rebalance

#11 — Pre-action governance verdict — approve_with_concerns (conf 0.75) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $55 | heeded — verdict cleared, full size
  npub ? | event a60501f3f2cbbc4c… | posted=True

#12 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.85) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $55 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event c672dce948704bab… | posted=True

#13 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.85) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $55 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event c5ee6fef1faa7e29… | posted=True

#14 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.85) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $55 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event d430b109574d54b4… | posted=True

#15 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, AVAX short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event ae32ea4e9994d4c2… | posted=True

#16 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, AVAX short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event 47d737c8f9e19a1a… | posted=True

#17 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, AVAX short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event 63fdc4a2b099c5d8… | posted=True

#18 — Pre-action governance verdict — reject (conf 0.95) on a PROPOSED entry: ETH short $50, BTC short $50, AVAX short $50 | heeded — new-entry size reduced ×0.5
  npub ? | event 4e46e601a8add2c0… | posted=True

#19 — Pre-action governance verdict — approve_with_concerns on the FIRST on-chain judgment commitment (GenericCommitRevealSettler, Sepolia) | the record committed is the verdict that governed the committing
  npub ? | event ff7227c605828f94… | posted=True